After the establishment of the Ministry, many experts called for the establishment of relatively independent of telecommunications, Internet regulators, but have no effect. This also led to concerns about Telecom Regulation in the industry. I think, the telecommunications industry is currently the most important live or die not enterprise or industrial management, but to form an effective monitoring mechanism and the competitive landscape. This may be exactly what Li Yizhong transfer is one of the reasons of the Minister of the Ministry.
But from the perspective of the current situation, trends in communications in the Ministry have been marginalized. From the Ministry of industry and information technology: the first three quarters in the industry, telecom industry operational situation overall is good, you can see that, at present the Ministry at the same time there are problems with management of industry and information technology.
A description of the run, for the first three quarters, communications industry remained relatively independent. Specific analysis:
Report 1, originally belonging to the Ministry of information industry in electronic production, have successfully integrated into the industrial areas of management, "(a) structural adjustment, energy conservation and emission reduction working steadily. "," (Ii) further enhanced the capability of independent innovation. "Home appliances, computer hardware and software are included in content, and" (c) the pace of information technology to transform traditional industries. "Is integrated to industry and information technology.
2, communications industry remained relatively independent. "(E) communications industry situation well. "As a six-part of a separate, but listed in a special" (vi) basic recovery of production in the earthquake. "Before.
3, "(d) the positive progress achieved in the promotion. "Telecom universal service mentioned in" village phone "," Heung can connect to the Internet "," (f) basic recovery of production in the earthquake. "Public communication capacity is mentioned in, is listed as a separate sentence.
4, communication-related manufacturing industries have not been reflected in the six-point.
Second, the communications industry is not included in the "need for close attention to the issue of" visible industry work more difficult, the communications industry "operational situation overall is good", this may affect progress in restructuring the telecommunications industry.
Third, "three, the current focus of work", in the first two paragraphs of "industrial, telecommunications industry," actually can remove the "communications". In the work of six specific, one to four basic no relationship with the communications industry, 6th in the "industry, telecommunications industry," "communications" also suspected added. On the focus of the communications industry is still listed as a separate part.
"(E) deepening telecommunication reform, continue to promote the development of TD. Full implementation of the policy measures support the development of TD, guiding TD phase II bid and to invest. Combined Telecom restructuring processes, promote the reform of telecommunications policy measures, strengthen restructured telecommunications market regulation, addressing service hot issues of social concern. ��
You can see it can be divided into two parts of a significant, promote TD and telecom system reform. Did not mention other telecom related content.
On promoting TD. "To continue to promote the development of TD. "," Comprehensive implementation of the policy measures support the development of TD, guiding TD phase II bid and to invest. ��
On reform of Telecom. "Deepening the reform of telecommunications" and "combining Telecom restructuring processes, promote the reform of telecommunications policy measures, strengthen restructured telecommunications market regulation, addressing service hot issues of social concern. ����
In the title "reform of Telecom" in the former, and "promote TD" in the former. Do not know is the requirement for balance, also is the antithesis of consideration.
Four, the telecommunications equipment industry is not included in the "current priorities", in addition to "fully implement the various policy measures support the development of TD", will involve a TD production enterprises.
A little speculation, on May 23 telecom restructuring began, I predict, 3G licence issued to China next year, the fastest time to China Unicom's attitude, probably in November of this year ", according to Ministry positions and carrier dynamics in the near future, forecasts are as follows:
Before the first quarter next year issuance 3G licence has the possibility is very small, is the most likely time telecommunications day next year, issuance of time focus on TD test sooner or later.
Forecast time: November 6, 2008
Predicting people: fuliang
The unit: independent analysis
The following reasons:
1, the current restructuring of telecommunications is not a focus of the Ministry of industry and information work. Area-wide response to the financial turmoil and more importantly, melamine events also let the Ministry scratch one ' s head, now almost all problems in China, are likely to involve ministries "of industry and information technology".
2, TD the progress is not satisfactory.
3, China Unicom WCDMA's stance is too positive, offensive caused decision makers.
Related:
2008-6-19: fear TD eight old will bring the Ministry where
2008-9-12: new policies of Shenzhen China Tianjin communications experimental plots
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